7
Redoubtableripken
4yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 61
Finger Lakes · Race 5 - Claiming · 1m 70y
#9
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 3.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | Finger Lakes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-17 | Finger Lakes | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-04 | Finger Lakes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-09 | Finger Lakes | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-25 | Finger Lakes | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-11 | Finger Lakes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 90% of fieldRange 5-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -7.5% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 9th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/08/2024 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 20% | -0.06 |
| 20/02/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 80% | -0.06 |
| 28/04/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 80% | +0.33 |
| 11/05/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 67% | +0.51 |
| 25/05/2026 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 09/06/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 20% | -0.27 |
| 04/08/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 40% | +0.03 |
| 17/08/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 80% | +0.06 |
| 31/08/2026 | 4th | 11/8 | 93% | 0% | -0.93 |