5
So Spirited
4yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 65
Finger Lakes · Race 5 - Claiming · 1m 70y
#2
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
8%
Place Prob
18%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength32%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 3.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.1
Today:
Class gap: +0.4
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-15 | Finger Lakes | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-25 | Finger Lakes | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-11 | Finger Lakes | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-06 | Finger Lakes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-24 | Finger Lakes | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-09 | Finger Lakes | ? | 7th | 4th | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 988% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength82%
Delivery trend +4.2% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/03/2026 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 60% | -0.26 |
| 10/04/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 27/05/2026 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 0% | -0.74 |
| 09/06/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 24/06/2026 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 06/07/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 50% | -0.03 |
| 11/08/2026 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 86% | +0.17 |
| 25/08/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 15/09/2026 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 83% | -0.05 |