1
Song So Sweet
4yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 72
Finger Lakes · Race 5 - Claiming · 1m 70y
#8
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength5%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 3.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-15 | Finger Lakes | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-12 | Gulfstream | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-24 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-01 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-02 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-03-20 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 938% of fieldRange 3-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength33%
Delivery trend -10.9% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/12/2025 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 20% | +0.04 |
| 06/02/2026 | 5th | 40/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 05/03/2026 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 20/03/2026 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 86% | +0.23 |
| 02/04/2026 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 60% | -0.06 |
| 01/05/2026 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 83% | +0.31 |
| 24/05/2026 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 83% | +0.25 |
| 12/06/2026 | 6th | 3/1 | 84% | 0% | -0.84 |
| 15/09/2026 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 33% | -0.48 |