9
Bustinroxy
6yo Mare · 8-10 · OR 60
Finger Lakes · Race 6 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#8
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength39%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 3.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | Finger Lakes | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-04 | Finger Lakes | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-11-10 | Finger Lakes | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-09-30 | Finger Lakes | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2025-09-03 | Finger Lakes | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-08-13 | Finger Lakes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 913% of fieldRange 3-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength26%
Delivery trend -3.1% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/05/2025 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 75% | -0.13 |
| 10/06/2025 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 29% | -0.19 |
| 22/07/2025 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 20% | -0.43 |
| 13/08/2025 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 57% | -0.01 |
| 03/09/2025 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 30/09/2025 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 10/11/2025 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 04/08/2026 | 8th | 13/2 | 66% | 0% | -0.66 |
| 31/08/2026 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 20% | -0.54 |