2
T D Magee
4yo Filly · 8-10 · OR 57
Finger Lakes · Race 6 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#9
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength19%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 4.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Finger Lakes | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-08-25 | Finger Lakes | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-27 | Finger Lakes | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-07 | Finger Lakes | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-15 | Finger Lakes | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-03 | Finger Lakes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 90% of fieldRange 6-9 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -5.9% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/11/2025 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 05/05/2026 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 20/05/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 03/06/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 50% | -0.26 |
| 15/06/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 07/07/2026 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 27/07/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 25/08/2026 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 20% | -0.43 |
| 09/09/2026 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |