IvyArcIvyArc
7

Eric From Miami

5yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 76

Finger Lakes · Race 7 - Allowance · 1m 110y

#3

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

3%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▲3
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.

Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 4.4)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: -2.5
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Finger Lakes 28/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 72 · 4f110y 122 · below its mark28/04/2026 · OR 72 par28/04C8OR 72C8 @ Finger Lakes 12/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 68 · 6f Fas 122 · below its mark12/05/2026 · OR 68 parC8 @ Finger Lakes 25/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 67 · 1m 122 · below its mark25/05/2026 · OR 67 par25/05C8OR 67C8 @ Finger Lakes 30/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 69 · 1m70y 122 · below its mark30/06/2026 · OR 69 parC8 @ Finger Lakes 15/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 59 · 1m110y Fas 124 · below its mark15/07/2026 · OR 59 par15/07C8OR 59C8 @ Finger Lakes 27/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 61 · 1m70y 124 · beat its mark27/07/2026 · OR 61 parC8 @ Finger Lakes 11/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 61 · 1m110y 124 · beat its mark11/08/2026 · OR 61 par11/08C8OR 61C8 @ Finger Lakes 26/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 70 · 1m 124 · beat its mark26/08/2026 · OR 70 parC8 @ Finger Lakes 08/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 74 · 1m Fas 124 · beat its mark08/09/2026 · OR 74 par8/09C8OR 74projClass-projected finish: 5th of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-08Finger Lakes?1st4th−3
2026-08-26Finger Lakes?1st4th−3
2026-08-11Finger Lakes?2nd5th−3
2026-07-27Finger Lakes?2nd5th−3
2026-07-15Finger Lakes?5th8th−3
2026-06-30Finger Lakes?3rd6th−3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today28/0430/0611/088/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 733% of fieldRange 2-7 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength42%

Delivery trend +0.4% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 7.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
28/04/20265th12/137%33%-0.04
12/05/20263rd10/147%71%+0.24
25/05/20266th14/126%0%-0.26
30/06/20263rd16/116%60%+0.44
15/07/20265th5/174%33%-0.40
27/07/20262nd13/266%83%+0.18
11/08/20262nd5/287%80%-0.07
26/08/20261st8/1196%100%+0.04
08/09/20261st11/486%100%+0.14