5
Connect The Brocks
6yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 69
Finger Lakes · Race 8 - Claiming · 6f
#10
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength5%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-21 | Finger Lakes | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-06 | Finger Lakes | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-09 | Finger Lakes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-27 | Finger Lakes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-05 | Finger Lakes | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-03-21 | Turfway Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1011% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength52%
Delivery trend -6.9% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 9th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/01/2026 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 12/02/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 44% | +0.29 |
| 26/02/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 55% | +0.55 |
| 21/03/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 57% | +0.20 |
| 05/05/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 33% | +0.18 |
| 27/05/2026 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 40% | -0.21 |
| 09/06/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 0% | -0.79 |
| 06/07/2026 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 83% | +0.15 |
| 21/07/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 20% | -0.17 |