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2

I'm Mischievous

3yo Gelding · 8-9 · OR 59

Finger Lakes · Race 8 - Claiming · 6f

#8

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 4.4)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC9 @ Tampa Bay Downs 10/12/2025 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 61 · 5f110y Fas 119 · below its mark10/12/2025 · OR 61 par10/12C9OR 61C9 @ Tampa Bay Downs 02/01/2026 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR 65 · 1m110y Fm 119 · below its mark02/01/2026 · OR 65 parC9 @ Tampa Bay Downs 21/01/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 66 · 6f110y Fas 119 · beat its mark21/01/2026 · OR 66 par21/01C9OR 66C8 @ Tampa Bay Downs 20/02/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 68 · 7f 123 · below its mark20/02/2026 · OR 68 parC8 @ Tampa Bay Downs 04/03/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 76 · 7f Fas 118 · below its mark04/03/2026 · OR 76 par4/03C8OR 76C8 @ Tampa Bay Downs 18/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 75 · 6f 118 · below its mark18/03/2026 · OR 75 parC8 @ Tampa Bay Downs 26/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 77 · 5f110y Fas 118 · below its mark26/04/2026 · OR 77 par26/04C8OR 77C8 @ Finger Lakes 19/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 69 · 5f110y 120 · below its mark19/08/2026 · OR 69 parC8 @ Finger Lakes 16/09/2026 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR 62 · 5f110y 121 · below its mark16/09/2026 · OR 62 par16/09C8OR 62projClass-projected finish: 9th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-16Finger Lakes?7th7th0
2026-08-19Finger Lakes?6th6th0
2026-04-26Tampa Bay Downs?6th6th0
2026-03-18Tampa Bay Downs?4th4th0
2026-03-04Tampa Bay Downs?3rd3rd0
2026-02-20Tampa Bay Downs?3rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today10/1220/0226/0416/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 100% of fieldRange 10-10 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -6.3% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 10th of 10. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
10/12/20254th11/271%40%-0.31
02/01/20266th9/153%55%+0.02
21/01/20261st4/179%100%+0.21
20/02/20263rd9/153%67%+0.14
04/03/20263rd11/271%67%-0.04
18/03/20264th13/266%40%-0.26
26/04/20266th15/890%0%-0.90
19/08/20266th3/184%17%-0.68
16/09/20267th9/153%45%-0.07