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3

Mymathes Correct

4yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 66

Fort Erie · Race 2 - Claiming · 6f 110y

#4

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

3%

Place Prob

10%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▼2
Strength85%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 5 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.7 /10 (raw 4.1)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.4
Today:
Class gap: +2.1
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Fort Erie 13/10/2025 · Pos 5th of 5 · OR 75 · 6f110y 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark13/10/2025 · OR 75 par13/10C5OR 75C8 @ Woodbine 24/10/2025 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 69 · 7f Fas 123 · below its mark24/10/2025 · OR 69 parC5 @ Woodbine 21/11/2025 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR 81 · 1m110y Fas 118 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark21/11/2025 · OR 81 par21/11C5OR 81C5 @ Mountaineer 25/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 70 · 6f Slo 123 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark25/05/2026 · OR 70 parC5 @ Fort Erie 30/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 60 · 7f Fm 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark30/06/2026 · OR 60 par30/06C5OR 60C5 @ Fort Erie 12/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 62 · 6f110y Fas 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark12/07/2026 · OR 62 parC5 @ Fort Erie 28/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 65 · 6f110y Fas 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark28/07/2026 · OR 65 par28/07C5OR 65C5 @ Fort Erie 10/08/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR 76 · 1m110y Fas 124 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark10/08/2026 · OR 76 parC8 @ Fort Erie 15/09/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR 68 · 1m Fm 124 · below its mark15/09/2026 · OR 68 par15/09C8OR 68projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 5
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-15Fort Erie?8th8th0
2026-08-10Fort Erie?8th5th+3
2026-07-28Fort Erie?1st-2th+3
2026-07-12Fort Erie?5th2nd+3
2026-06-30Fort Erie?1st-2th+3
2026-05-25Mountaineer?4th1st+3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today13/1025/0528/0715/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 50% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength36%

Delivery trend -3.8% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 5. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
13/10/20255th3/184%0%-0.84
24/10/20253rd33/10%75%+0.75
21/11/20258th50/10%0%0.00
25/05/20264th7/282%40%-0.42
30/06/20261st7/163%100%+0.37
12/07/20265th15/261%20%-0.41
28/07/20261st8/158%100%+0.42
10/08/20268th12/137%13%-0.24
15/09/20268th9/488%0%-0.88