6
Audax Minor
4yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 81
Fort Erie · Race 4 - Allowance · 1m
#3
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 7.5 /10 (raw 4.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.7
Today:
Class gap: -1.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Woodbine | ? | 11th | 14th | −3 |
| 2026-08-31 | Fort Erie | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-21 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 7th | −3 |
| 2026-07-28 | Fort Erie | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-10 | Woodbine | ? | 7th | 10th | −3 |
| 2026-05-31 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 7th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 733% of fieldRange 7-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -8.0% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09/2025 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 26/10/2025 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 83% | +0.10 |
| 15/11/2025 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 29% | -0.08 |
| 31/05/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 10/07/2026 | 7th | 7/2 | 82% | 0% | -0.82 |
| 28/07/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 21/08/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 50% | -0.29 |
| 31/08/2026 | 3rd | 15/8 | 90% | 50% | -0.40 |
| 11/09/2026 | 11th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |