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7

Catholic Jackie

5yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 81

Fort Erie · Race 4 - Allowance · 1m

#5

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▲1
Strength10%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.9 /10 (raw 4.6)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.2
Today:
Class gap: -1.2
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Woodbine 14/11/2025 · Pos 4th of 13 · OR 84 · 7f 123 · below its mark14/11/2025 · OR 84 par14/11C8OR 84C8 @ Woodbine 29/11/2025 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 85 · 1m1f Fas 121 · below its mark29/11/2025 · OR 85 parC8 @ Woodbine 13/12/2025 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 83 · 7f Fas 121 · below its mark13/12/2025 · OR 83 par13/12C8OR 83C8 @ Woodbine 07/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 85 · 5f110y Fas 122 · below its mark07/06/2026 · OR 85 parC8 @ Woodbine 19/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR 80 · 7f 124 · below its mark19/06/2026 · OR 80 par19/06C8OR 80C5 @ Fort Erie 12/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 77 · 6f110y Fas 122 · beat its mark12/07/2026 · OR 77 parC5 @ Fort Erie 28/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 74 · 6f110y Fas 122 · beat its mark28/07/2026 · OR 74 par28/07C5OR 74C8 @ Woodbine 21/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 75 · 1m110y Fas 122 · below its mark21/08/2026 · OR 75 parC5 @ Fort Erie 07/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR 78 · 1m110y Fm 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark07/09/2026 · OR 78 par7/09C5OR 78projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-07Fort Erie?4th3rd+1
2026-08-21Woodbine?2nd5th−3
2026-07-28Fort Erie?4th4th0
2026-07-12Fort Erie?2nd2nd0
2026-06-19Woodbine?4th7th−3
2026-06-07Woodbine?5th8th−3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today14/117/0628/077/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 717% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength69%

Delivery trend +1.4% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 7.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
14/11/20254th10/147%75%+0.28
29/11/20254th7/163%57%-0.06
13/12/20255th25/10%50%+0.50
07/06/20265th20/10%33%+0.33
19/06/20264th9/276%25%-0.51
12/07/20262nd11/271%80%+0.09
28/07/20264th6/168%40%-0.28
21/08/20262nd9/153%83%+0.31
07/09/20264th20/10%67%+0.67