Zimbawee
5yo Gelding · 8-8 · OR 62
Fort Erie · Race 5 - Claiming · 6f
#6
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 7.1)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-30 | Fort Erie | ? | 4th | 1st | +3 |
| 2026-07-28 | Fort Erie | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-30 | Fort Erie | ? | 7th | 4th | +3 |
| 2026-06-21 | Fort Erie | ? | 7th | 4th | +3 |
| 2026-04-25 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -2.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/02/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 08/03/2026 | 1st | 33/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 25/03/2026 | 9th | 50/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 25/04/2026 | 7th | 50/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 21/06/2026 | 7th | 50/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 30/06/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 28/07/2026 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 30/08/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 40% | +0.03 |
| 19/09/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |