Onejabtoomany
4yo Filly · 8-10 · OR 72
Fort Erie · Race 6 - Starter Optional Claiming · 5f 110y
#3
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 2 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.6 /10 (raw 3.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-06 | Fort Erie | ? | 1st | -1th | +2 |
| 2026-06-13 | Woodbine | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2025-08-25 | Fort Erie | ? | 1st | -1th | +2 |
| 2025-07-31 | Woodbine | ? | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2025-07-03 | Woodbine | ? | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2025-06-12 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +3.5% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 3rd of 5. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/12/2024 | 2nd | 6/4 | 92% | 80% | -0.12 |
| 26/04/2025 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 86% | +0.20 |
| 22/05/2025 | 5th | 13/2 | 66% | 20% | -0.46 |
| 12/06/2025 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 40% | -0.36 |
| 03/07/2025 | 7th | 15/2 | 61% | 25% | -0.36 |
| 31/07/2025 | 7th | 11/8 | 93% | 40% | -0.53 |
| 25/08/2025 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 13/06/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 17% | -0.10 |
| 06/07/2026 | 1st | 7/1 | 63% | 100% | +0.37 |