3
Alta Calibre
4yo Filly · 8-10 · OR 72
Fort Erie · Race 7 - Claiming · 7f
#2
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
51%
Place Prob
40%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength25%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 3.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.0
Today:
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-22 | Fort Erie | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-09-07 | Fort Erie | ? | 2nd | -2th | +3 |
| 2026-08-17 | Fort Erie | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-10 | Fort Erie | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-03-27 | Gulfstream | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-02-20 | Gulfstream | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 886% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength77%
Delivery trend +0.3% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 2nd of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/12/2025 | 1st | 1/1 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 28/12/2025 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 33% | -0.04 |
| 01/02/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 33% | +0.18 |
| 20/02/2026 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |
| 27/03/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 10/08/2026 | 4th | 6/4 | 92% | 50% | -0.42 |
| 17/08/2026 | 1st | 4/6 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 07/09/2026 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 90% | +0.27 |
| 22/09/2026 | 2nd | 13/8 | 91% | 83% | -0.08 |