7
Mi Tormenta
8yo Mare · 8-8 · OR 64
Fort Erie · Race 7 - Claiming · 7f
#8
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength3%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-15 | Fort Erie | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-24 | Fort Erie | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-11 | Fort Erie | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-21 | Fort Erie | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-12 | Fort Erie | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-29 | Fort Erie | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 80% of fieldRange 3-7 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength44%
Delivery trend +7.7% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/04/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 17% | -0.31 |
| 02/05/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 22/05/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 29/06/2026 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 12/07/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 25% | -0.12 |
| 21/07/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 50% | +0.03 |
| 11/08/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 24/08/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 15/09/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |