Coach Knight
4yo Gelding · 8-9 · OR 81
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 1 - Claiming · 1m
#2
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
22%
Place Prob
30%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 4.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-15 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-25 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-29 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 7th | 4th | +3 |
| 2026-07-08 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 4th | 1st | +3 |
| 2026-06-16 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-02 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +8.6% per run
What the projection says
Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 2nd of 11. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/05/2026 | 6th | 9/2 | 76% | 29% | -0.48 |
| 14/05/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 60% | -0.14 |
| 02/06/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 38% | -0.10 |
| 16/06/2026 | 7th | 6/1 | 68% | 14% | -0.54 |
| 08/07/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 29/07/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 25/08/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 75% | -0.07 |
| 15/09/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |