Gettysburg Address
5yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 88
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 1 - Claiming · 1m
#5
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 7 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 5.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-19 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 7th | 4th | +3 |
| 2026-08-04 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 3rd | 0th | +3 |
| 2026-01-04 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-12-12 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2025-11-05 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 5th | 2nd | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -2.1% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 3rd of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09/2024 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 11/09/2025 | 9th | 10/1 | 47% | 11% | -0.36 |
| 07/10/2025 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 71% | +0.45 |
| 05/11/2025 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 43% | -0.28 |
| 12/12/2025 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 22% | -0.04 |
| 04/01/2026 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 04/08/2026 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 19/08/2026 | 7th | 6/1 | 68% | 0% | -0.68 |
| 08/09/2026 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 57% | -0.24 |