Montauk Point
7yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 74
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 1 - Claiming · 1m
#8
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 5.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-01 | Delaware Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-23 | Delaware Park | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-05-03 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 13th | 12th | +1 |
| 2026-04-02 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-03-12 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-02-06 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 9th | 8th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -0.4% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 11.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/12/2024 | 7th | 2/1 | 89% | 40% | -0.49 |
| 06/03/2025 | 1st | 5/4 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 11/04/2025 | 9th | 16/1 | 16% | 11% | -0.05 |
| 06/02/2026 | 9th | 50/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 12/03/2026 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |
| 02/04/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 33% | -0.04 |
| 03/05/2026 | 13th | 20/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |
| 23/05/2026 | 7th | 4/1 | 79% | 14% | -0.65 |
| 01/07/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 57% | -0.01 |