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Scenic Justice

6yo Gelding · 8-7 · OR 84

Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 1 - Claiming · 1m

#3

Rank

Odds

15/1

Win Prob

2%

Place Prob

9%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼2
Strength78%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 5 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.1 /10 (raw 4.6)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.9
Today:
Class gap: +1.6
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 10/09/2025 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 89 · 1m110y Fm 119 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark10/09/2025 · OR 89 par10/09C6OR 89C8 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 22/09/2025 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 94 · 1m 119 · below its mark22/09/2025 · OR 94 parC8 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 29/09/2025 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 86 · 1m 119 · below its mark29/09/2025 · OR 86 par29/09C8OR 86C7 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 13/10/2025 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR 90 · 1m110y Fm 119 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark13/10/2025 · OR 90 parC8 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 13/11/2025 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 83 · 1m70y 118 · below its mark13/11/2025 · OR 83 par13/11C8OR 83C5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 04/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR 86 · 1m Fm 119 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark04/06/2026 · OR 86 parC5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 17/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 83 · 1m110y Slo 119 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark17/06/2026 · OR 83 par17/06C5OR 83C7 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 31/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR 82 · 1m110y Fm 119 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark31/08/2026 · OR 82 parC5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 17/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 85 · 1m Fm 119 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark17/09/2026 · OR 85 par17/09C5OR 85projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-17Horseshoe Indianapolis?6th3rd+3
2026-08-31Horseshoe Indianapolis?7th6th+1
2026-06-17Horseshoe Indianapolis?3rd0th+3
2026-06-04Horseshoe Indianapolis?2nd-1th+3
2025-11-13Horseshoe Indianapolis?6th6th0
2025-10-13Horseshoe Indianapolis?5th4th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today10/0913/1017/0617/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1130% of fieldRange 6-11 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength4%

Delivery trend -3.0% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 8th of 11. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
10/09/20255th20/10%33%+0.33
22/09/20256th15/261%38%-0.23
29/09/20252nd5/493%80%-0.13
13/10/20255th14/126%60%+0.34
13/11/20256th6/168%29%-0.40
04/06/20262nd9/276%89%+0.13
17/06/20263rd15/261%67%+0.06
31/08/20267th25/10%33%+0.33
17/09/20266th5/287%29%-0.58