5
Mahmoud's Cloud
3yo Gelding · 8-8 · OR 51
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 2 - Maiden Special Weight · 6f
#6
Rank
Odds
30/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 10.0 /10 (raw 8.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: -1.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-07 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 8th | 11th | −3 |
| 2026-06-15 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 620% of fieldRange 3-3 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength60%
Delivery trend +30.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 6. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/06/2026 | 9th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 07/07/2026 | 8th | 50/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |