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6

Leo's Beetle Bomb

3yo Gelding · 8-8 · OR 31

Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 3 - Maiden Claiming · 5f 110y

#3

Rank

Odds

5/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

6%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▼3
Strength78%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.5 /10 (raw 5.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: +2.5
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 06/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR - · 6f Fas 120 · HIGHER CLASS6/08C6C6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 10/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 29 · 1m 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark10/09/2026 · OR 29 par10/09C6OR 29projClass-projected finish: 1st of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-10Horseshoe Indianapolis?5th2nd+3
2026-08-06Horseshoe Indianapolis?6th3rd+3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today6/0810/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 871% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +50.7% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 8. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
06/08/20266th5/174%17%-0.57
10/09/20265th14/126%20%-0.06