1
Mountain Mike
3yo Gelding · 8-8 · OR 27
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 3 - Maiden Claiming · 5f 110y
#8
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength8%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 6.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-12 | Hawthorne | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-25 | Hawthorne | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-11-06 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-10-15 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-09-29 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 814% of fieldRange 3-7 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength39%
Delivery trend -1.9% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/09/2025 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 15/10/2025 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 06/11/2025 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 25/06/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 12/07/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 20/08/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |