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3

Powerful Justice

3yo Gelding · 8-8 · OR 49

Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 3 - Maiden Claiming · 5f 110y

#2

Rank

Odds

4/5

Win Prob

49%

Place Prob

44%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼2
Strength75%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 6.1)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.8
Today:
Class gap: +1.7
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 06/10/2025 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR - · 5f110y 120 · HIGHER CLASS6/10C6C6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 25/10/2025 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR 38 · 5f110y 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark25/10/2025 · OR 38 parC6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 13/11/2025 · Pos 12th of 12 · OR 46 · 5f110y 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark13/11/2025 · OR 46 par13/11C6OR 46C6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 08/04/2026 · Pos 11th of 11 · OR 34 · 5f110y Fas 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark08/04/2026 · OR 34 parC6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 22/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR 34 · 5f110y Fas 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark22/04/2026 · OR 34 par22/04C6OR 34C6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 11/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 35 · 6f 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark11/05/2026 · OR 35 parC9 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 06/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 44 · 1m Fas 120 · beat its mark06/06/2026 · OR 44 par6/06C9OR 44C9 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 03/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 45 · 6f 120 · beat its mark03/09/2026 · OR 45 par3/09C9OR 45projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-03Horseshoe Indianapolis?2nd2nd0
2026-06-06Horseshoe Indianapolis?3rd3rd0
2026-05-11Horseshoe Indianapolis?5th2nd+3
2026-04-22Horseshoe Indianapolis?7th4th+3
2026-04-08Horseshoe Indianapolis?11th8th+3
2025-11-13Horseshoe Indianapolis?12th9th+3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today6/108/046/063/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 886% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▬
Strength98%

Delivery trend +1.3% per run

What the projection says

Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 2nd of 8.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
06/10/20257th7/282%33%-0.48
25/10/20252nd10/147%90%+0.43
13/11/202512th20/10%0%0.00
08/04/202611th8/158%0%-0.58
22/04/20267th20/10%40%+0.40
11/05/20265th16/116%50%+0.34
06/06/20263rd15/890%60%-0.30
03/09/20262nd11/893%83%-0.09