IvyArcIvyArc
8

Reachin Out

3yo Gelding · 8-8 · OR 51

Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 3 - Maiden Claiming · 5f 110y

#4

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

3%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength27%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 5.6)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC9 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 29/09/2025 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 31 · 5f110y 120 · beat its mark29/09/2025 · OR 31 par29/09C9OR 31C6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 16/10/2025 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 33 · 1m 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark16/10/2025 · OR 33 parC9 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 05/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 45 · 6f Slo 120 · below its mark05/05/2026 · OR 45 par5/05C9OR 45C9 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 18/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 5 · OR 46 · 1m Fas 120 · below its mark18/05/2026 · OR 46 parC9 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 11/06/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR 44 · 6f 120 · below its mark11/06/2026 · OR 44 par11/06C9OR 44C9 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 18/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 4 · OR 42 · 6f Gd 117 · below its mark18/06/2026 · OR 42 parC9 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 27/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR 42 · 6f 120 · beat its mark27/07/2026 · OR 42 par27/07C9OR 42C9 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 20/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 47 · 5f110y 120 · beat its mark20/08/2026 · OR 47 parC9 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 03/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 49 · 6f 120 · below its mark03/09/2026 · OR 49 par3/09C9OR 49projClass-projected finish: 5th of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-03Horseshoe Indianapolis?5th5th0
2026-08-20Horseshoe Indianapolis?4th4th0
2026-07-27Horseshoe Indianapolis?6th6th0
2026-06-18Horseshoe Indianapolis?4th4th0
2026-06-11Horseshoe Indianapolis?8th8th0
2026-05-18Horseshoe Indianapolis?5th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today29/0918/0527/073/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 843% of fieldRange 2-8 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength28%

Delivery trend +5.5% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 8. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
29/09/20256th9/153%17%-0.36
16/10/20255th33/10%43%+0.43
05/05/20265th14/126%33%+0.07
18/05/20265th7/282%0%-0.82
11/06/20268th20/10%13%+0.13
18/06/20264th15/261%0%-0.61
27/07/20266th40/10%50%+0.50
20/08/20264th16/116%63%+0.47
03/09/20265th16/116%33%+0.18