Starspangled Louie

4yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 23

Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 3 - Maiden Claiming · 5f 110y

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

Place Prob

Rank

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE

▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark

Move▼1

Strength25%

What the class read says

Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 6.5)

Highest class:

Recent avg: C7.3

Today:

Class gap: +1.3

Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2026-09-03	Horseshoe Indianapolis	?	6th	6th	0	4.0
2025-11-12	Horseshoe Indianapolis	?	7th	4th	+3	6.0

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish6th of 829% of fieldRange 5-5 · 68%

▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price

Trend▲

Strength39%

Delivery trend +37.7% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 8. Recent form is on the up.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
12/11/2025	7th	12/1	37%	0%	-0.37
03/09/2026	6th	16/1	16%	17%	+0.01