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13

Maid Of Steel

2yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 50

Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 4 - Maiden Claiming · 1m

#5

Rank

Odds

4/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼3
Strength86%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.0 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: +2.5
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 02/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR - · 5f Fas 119 · HIGHER CLASS2/06C6C6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 15/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 60 · 5f Gd 119 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark15/06/2026 · OR 60 par15/06C6OR 60projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-15Horseshoe Indianapolis?6th3rd+3
2026-06-02Horseshoe Indianapolis?4th1st+3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today2/0615/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1431% of fieldRange 14-14 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -55.9% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 10th of 14. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
02/06/20264th3/184%50%-0.34
15/06/20266th15/890%0%-0.90