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2

Omi Maria

2yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 65

Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 4 - Maiden Claiming · 1m

#11

Rank

Odds

3/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#11

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼2
Strength75%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 7.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.3
Today:
Class gap: +2.3
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Saratoga 12/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR - · 5f110y Fm 123 · HIGHER CLASS12/08C6C7 @ Saratoga 03/09/2026 · Pos 9th of 12 · OR 70 · 1m110y Gd 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark03/09/2026 · OR 70 par3/09C7OR 70projClass-projected finish: 4th of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-03Saratoga?9th7th+2
2026-08-12Saratoga?6th3rd+3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today12/083/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1438% of fieldRange 2-2 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength89%

Delivery trend +24.9% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 9th of 14. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
12/08/20266th10/382%38%-0.45
03/09/20269th10/147%27%-0.20