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7

Sea Oats

2yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 59

Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 4 - Maiden Claiming · 1m

#3

Rank

Odds

15/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

7%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼3
Strength35%

What the class read says

Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 9.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: +2.5
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Kentucky Downs 06/09/2026 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR - · 6f110y 119 · HIGHER CLASS6/09C6
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-06Kentucky Downs?9th6th+3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today6/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1469% of fieldRange 7-12 · 50%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength27%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 14. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
06/09/20269th33/10%11%+0.11