Jordans Deal
4yo Filly · 8-10 · OR 63
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 5 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#2
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 2 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.9 /10 (raw 3.9)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-04 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-09 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-18 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-14 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 1st | -1th | +2 |
| 2025-10-29 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 3rd | 1st | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -0.6% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 11.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/09/2025 | 10th | 4/1 | 79% | 0% | -0.79 |
| 25/09/2025 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 89% | +0.01 |
| 16/10/2025 | 5th | 2/5 | 98% | 33% | -0.65 |
| 29/10/2025 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 80% | +0.12 |
| 14/05/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 18/06/2026 | 3rd | 7/4 | 91% | 60% | -0.31 |
| 09/07/2026 | 4th | 5/2 | 87% | 25% | -0.62 |
| 04/08/2026 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 60% | -0.28 |
| 22/08/2026 | 6th | 11/10 | 94% | 38% | -0.57 |