6
Loveitorleaveit
3yo Filly · 8-6 · OR 51
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 5 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#5
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength3%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 4.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.8
Today:
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-22 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-22 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-09 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-28 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-13 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-10-28 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 7th | 8th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1140% of fieldRange 2-11 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength30%
Delivery trend -3.4% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 7th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/10/2025 | 9th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 28/10/2025 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 13/05/2026 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |
| 28/05/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 09/07/2026 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 50% | -0.16 |
| 22/08/2026 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 63% | +0.63 |
| 22/09/2026 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 25% | -0.41 |