Sheshois

3yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 41

Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 5 - Claiming · 5f 110y

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

Place Prob

Rank

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE

▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark

Move▼1

Strength57%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class:

Recent avg: C6.6

Today:

Class gap: +0.9

Higher-class runs: 3

Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2026-09-14	Horseshoe Indianapolis	?	1st	2nd	−1	7.8
2026-08-22	Horseshoe Indianapolis	?	6th	4th	+2	5.8
2026-06-25	Horseshoe Indianapolis	?	7th	5th	+2	4.8
2026-06-03	Horseshoe Indianapolis	?	6th	4th	+2	5.8

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish3rd of 1180% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%

▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only

Trend▲

Strength81%

Delivery trend +29.5% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 11. Recent form is on the up.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
03/06/2026	6th	6/1	68%	44%	-0.24
25/06/2026	7th	16/1	16%	14%	-0.02
22/08/2026	6th	10/1	47%	17%	-0.31
14/09/2026	1st	16/1	16%	100%	+0.84