IvyArcIvyArc
8

Obvious Agenda

3yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 67

Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 8 - Maiden Special Weight · 1m

#1

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

56%

Place Prob

38%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength22%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 3.4)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 28/08/2025 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR 56 · 5f110y 120 · beat its mark28/08/2025 · OR 56 par28/08C6OR 56C6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 18/09/2025 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 55 · 5f110y 120 · beat its mark18/09/2025 · OR 55 parC6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 30/10/2025 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 55 · 5f110y 120 · beat its mark30/10/2025 · OR 55 par30/10C6OR 55C6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 05/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 56 · 6f Slo 121 · beat its mark05/05/2026 · OR 56 parC6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 03/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 56 · 5f110y 121 · beat its mark03/06/2026 · OR 56 par3/06C6OR 56C6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 17/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 63 · 1m70y 120 · beat its mark17/06/2026 · OR 63 parC6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 07/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR 62 · 1m Fm 120 · beat its mark07/07/2026 · OR 62 par7/07C6OR 62C6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 13/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 67 · 1m Slo 120 · beat its mark13/08/2026 · OR 67 parC6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 01/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR 66 · 1m Fm 120 · beat its mark01/09/2026 · OR 66 par1/09C6OR 66projClass-projected finish: 1st of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-01Horseshoe Indianapolis?4th4th0
2026-08-13Horseshoe Indianapolis?2nd2nd0
2026-07-07Horseshoe Indianapolis?3rd3rd0
2026-06-17Horseshoe Indianapolis?4th4th0
2026-06-03Horseshoe Indianapolis?3rd3rd0
2026-05-05Horseshoe Indianapolis?3rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today28/085/057/071/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 11100% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength86%

Delivery trend +1.1% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 11.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
28/08/20254th6/168%67%-0.02
18/09/20253rd5/174%71%-0.02
30/10/20253rd9/153%75%+0.22
05/05/20263rd11/271%67%-0.04
03/06/20263rd16/116%78%+0.62
17/06/20264th5/174%50%-0.24
07/07/20263rd12/137%82%+0.45
13/08/20262nd11/271%86%+0.15
01/09/20264th9/276%73%-0.04