2

Once More
3yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 68
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 8 - Maiden Special Weight · 1m
#2
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
25%
Place Prob
25%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength25%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 5.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.4
Today:
Class gap: -0.4
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-29 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-07 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-06-11 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-26 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 2nd | 5th | −3 |
| 2026-04-15 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1180% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength71%
Delivery trend -4.9% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/09/2025 | 6th | 50/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 21/10/2025 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 12/11/2025 | 8th | 50/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 15/04/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |
| 26/05/2026 | 2nd | 50/1 | 0% | 91% | +0.91 |
| 11/06/2026 | 4th | 11/4 | 86% | 63% | -0.23 |
| 07/07/2026 | 10th | 7/2 | 82% | 18% | -0.63 |
| 29/07/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 82% | +0.56 |
| 01/09/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 82% | +0.06 |