11
Royal Tiara
3yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 63
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 8 - Maiden Special Weight · 1m
#7
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength22%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 6.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-29 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-07 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-21 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-07 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-15 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1150% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength67%
Delivery trend +9.7% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 11. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/10/2025 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 25% | -0.22 |
| 15/04/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 07/05/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 21/05/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 17% | -0.31 |
| 07/07/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 29/07/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |
| 01/09/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |