5
Scripted Love
3yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 53
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 8 - Maiden Special Weight · 1m
#5
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
6%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength16%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 4.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-06 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-17 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-21 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-07 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-07-02 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-05-26 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1130% of fieldRange 7-11 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength0%
Delivery trend -1.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 11.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/05/2025 | 7th | 15/2 | 61% | 25% | -0.36 |
| 02/07/2025 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 33% | -0.25 |
| 07/05/2026 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 86% | +0.17 |
| 21/05/2026 | 3rd | 11/8 | 93% | 67% | -0.26 |
| 17/06/2026 | 7th | 10/3 | 82% | 0% | -0.82 |
| 06/07/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 25% | -0.01 |