13

Ap Valiant Princess

3yo Filly · 9-0 · OR 57

Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 9 - Maiden · 1f 80y

#7

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

4%

Rank

#7

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▼1
Strength65%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.9 /10 (raw 5.8)

Highest class: BHA57
Recent avg: C7.0
Today:
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 26/06/2025 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR - · 1f130y Fas 12426/06C?C8 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 15/07/2025 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR - · 1f80y 124C8 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 13/11/2025 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 52 · 1f130y 124 · beat its mark13/11/2025 · OR 52 par13/11C8OR 52C8 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 08/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR 48 · 1f80y Fas 126 · below its mark08/04/2026 · OR 48 parBHA57 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 11/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 57 · 1f130y 126 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark11/05/2026 · OR 57 par11/0557OR 57C8 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 09/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 59 · 1f180y Fas 126 · below its mark09/06/2026 · OR 59 parBHA60 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 30/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 60 · 1f180y 126 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark30/06/2026 · OR 60 par30/0660OR 60BHA60 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 14/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 60 · 1f180y 126 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark14/09/2026 · OR 60 par14/0960OR 60projClass-projected finish: 5th of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-14Horseshoe IndianapolisBHA605th3rd+2
2026-06-30Horseshoe IndianapolisBHA607th5th+2
2026-06-09Horseshoe Indianapolis?5th5th0
2026-05-11Horseshoe IndianapolisBHA574th1st+2
2026-04-08Horseshoe Indianapolis?7th7th0
2025-11-13Horseshoe Indianapolis?3rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today26/068/0430/0614/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1454% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength74%

Delivery trend -0.4% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 14.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
26/06/202510th25/10%0%0.00
15/07/20255th16/116%50%+0.34
13/11/20253rd20/10%78%+0.78
08/04/20267th33/10%33%+0.33
11/05/20264th12/137%63%+0.26
09/06/20265th10/147%50%+0.03
30/06/20267th25/10%14%+0.14
14/09/20265th33/10%43%+0.43