Eos Running Roxie
3yo Filly · 9-0 · OR 65
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 9 - Maiden · 1f 80y
#1
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
39%
Place Prob
26%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 4.9)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-10 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-01 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-04-07 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-10-15 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-09-11 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 8th | 4th | +4 |
| 2025-08-25 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | BHA61 | 3rd | 1st | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -5.0% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/05/2025 | 5th | 11/4 | 86% | 56% | -0.30 |
| 25/08/2025 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 75% | +0.49 |
| 11/09/2025 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 13% | -0.24 |
| 15/10/2025 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 78% | -0.08 |
| 07/04/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 57% | -0.01 |
| 01/05/2026 | 9th | 6/4 | 92% | 11% | -0.81 |
| 10/07/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 88% | +0.02 |