Fa Lillys Of Wins
3yo Filly · 9-0 · OR 61
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 9 - Maiden · 1f 80y
#2
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
21%
Place Prob
19%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 0 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 5.2)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-23 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-11 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | BHA59 | 2nd | 0th | +2 |
| 2026-04-07 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-11-13 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-10-25 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 10th | 6th | +4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +8.6% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10/2025 | 10th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 13/11/2025 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 67% | +0.06 |
| 07/04/2026 | 7th | 13/2 | 66% | 14% | -0.52 |
| 11/05/2026 | 2nd | 25/1 | 0% | 89% | +0.89 |
| 23/06/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 78% | +0.01 |