5
Lb Vegas Train
3yo Filly · 9-0 · OR 56
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 9 - Maiden · 1f 80y
#8
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength16%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 6.8)
Highest class: BHA61
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-10 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-09-03 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-06-26 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | BHA61 | 6th | 4th | +2 |
| 2025-05-27 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1438% of fieldRange 14-14 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -32.2% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/05/2025 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 56% | +0.40 |
| 26/06/2025 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |
| 03/09/2025 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 13% | -0.14 |
| 10/07/2026 | 8th | 15/2 | 61% | 13% | -0.48 |