12
Miss Ktb 23
3yo Filly · 9-0 · OR 63
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 9 - Maiden · 1f 80y
#5
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
10%
Place Prob
13%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▼1
Strength55%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.2
Today:
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-23 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-21 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-01 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-09-11 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 3rd | -1th | +4 |
| 2025-08-25 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | BHA65 | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2025-05-13 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1446% of fieldRange 2-14 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength29%
Delivery trend -6.5% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 8th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/05/2025 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 56% | -0.13 |
| 25/08/2025 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 50% | -0.24 |
| 11/09/2025 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 01/05/2026 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 67% | -0.18 |
| 21/05/2026 | 2nd | 11/8 | 93% | 86% | -0.07 |
| 23/06/2026 | 6th | 11/10 | 94% | 44% | -0.50 |