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6

Seizedbymarielaveau

4yo Filly · 9-2 · OR 54

Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 9 - Maiden · 1f 80y

#10

Rank

Odds

30/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#10

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength12%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 11/11/2024 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR 26 · 1f130y Fas 124 · beat its mark11/11/2024 · OR 26 par11/11C8OR 26C8 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 09/10/2025 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 40 · 1f180y 126 · beat its mark09/10/2025 · OR 40 par9/10C8OR 40C8 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 11/11/2025 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR 44 · 1f180y 126 · below its mark11/11/2025 · OR 44 par11/11C8OR 44projClass-projected finish: 8th of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2025-11-11Horseshoe Indianapolis?7th7th0
2025-10-09Horseshoe Indianapolis?4th4th0
2024-11-11Horseshoe Indianapolis?4th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today11/119/1011/11
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1431% of fieldRange 11-14 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength14%

Delivery trend -16.7% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 14. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
11/11/20244th25/10%67%+0.67
09/10/20254th16/116%57%+0.41
11/11/20257th25/10%33%+0.33