5
Arcubiatu
6yo Gelding · 10-5
Marseille-borely · Prix Hotel Barriere Le Royal Deauville Stakes · 1m 1f 207y
#6
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength17%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 6.5)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.8
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Clairefontaine | 3 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-07-21 | Vichy | 4 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Lyon-Parilly | 4 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-25 | Salon-De-Provence | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-29 | Lyon-Parilly | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-10 | Marseille-borely | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 60% of fieldRange 2-6 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength45%
Delivery trend +1.8% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02/2026 | 14th | 17/2 | 55% | 0% | -0.55 |
| 05/03/2026 | 8th | 28/1 | 0% | 42% | +0.42 |
| 18/03/2026 | 9th | 20/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 10/04/2026 | 3rd | 17/2 | 55% | 71% | +0.16 |
| 29/04/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 55% | +0.28 |
| 25/05/2026 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 80% | +0.12 |
| 13/06/2026 | 7th | 9/2 | 76% | 45% | -0.31 |
| 21/07/2026 | 10th | 14/1 | 26% | 31% | +0.04 |
| 29/08/2026 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 60% | +0.34 |