4

Blanc Bleu
8yo Gelding · 10-5
Marseille-borely · Prix Hotel Barriere Le Royal Deauville Stakes · 1m 1f 207y
#4
Rank
Odds
9/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
7%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 3 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 9.0 /10 (raw 6.8)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.6
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.4
Higher-class runs: 3
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-02 | Lyon-Parilly | ? | 10th | 11th | −1 |
| 2026-07-25 | Vichy | 4 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-07 | Aix-Les-Bains | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-12 | Marseille-borely | 3 | 14th | 13th | +1 |
| 2026-05-22 | Marseille | 3 | 9th | 8th | +1 |
| 2026-04-27 | Marseille-borely | 3 | 11th | 10th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 660% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength68%
Delivery trend +0.2% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/03/2026 | 9th | 16/1 | 16% | 27% | +0.11 |
| 03/04/2026 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 16/04/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 27/04/2026 | 11th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 22/05/2026 | 9th | 18/1 | 5% | 11% | +0.06 |
| 12/06/2026 | 14th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 07/07/2026 | 5th | 28/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 25/07/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 02/09/2026 | 10th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |