2
Tiberiana
4yo Filly · 10-6
Marseille-borely · Prix Hotel Barriere Le Royal Deauville Stakes · 1m 1f 207y
#3
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
9%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength8%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 6.1)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-15 | Lyon-Parilly | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-07-25 | Vichy | 4 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-05-18 | Marseille-borely | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-27 | Marseille-borely | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-18 | Marseille-borely | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-02-16 | Marseille | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 680% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength62%
Delivery trend -5.0% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/11/2025 | 9th | 28/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 16/12/2025 | 9th | 50/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 20/01/2026 | 5th | 17/2 | 55% | 43% | -0.12 |
| 16/02/2026 | 3rd | 40/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |
| 18/03/2026 | 1st | 16/1 | 16% | 100% | +0.84 |
| 27/04/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 88% | +0.11 |
| 18/05/2026 | 4th | 11/4 | 86% | 63% | -0.23 |
| 25/07/2026 | 12th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 15/09/2026 | 10th | 16/1 | 16% | 10% | -0.06 |