5
Al Habisset
5yo Filly · 8-11
Marseille-borely · Prix Lucien Frauciel Handicap · 1m 4f 203y
#7
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.9 /10 (raw 5.3)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.3
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 | Vichy | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-01-05 | Marseille | 4 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-12-21 | Marseille | ? | 10th | 11th | −1 |
| 2025-12-08 | Marseille | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-11-24 | Marseille | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2025-11-12 | Marseille | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 70% of fieldRange 2-7 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength13%
Delivery trend -1.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09/2025 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 70% | +0.09 |
| 18/10/2025 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 22% | +0.06 |
| 31/10/2025 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 12/11/2025 | 2nd | 28/1 | 0% | 90% | +0.90 |
| 24/11/2025 | 6th | 17/2 | 55% | 38% | -0.18 |
| 08/12/2025 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 92% | +0.76 |
| 21/12/2025 | 10th | 7/2 | 82% | 10% | -0.72 |
| 05/01/2026 | 9th | 18/1 | 5% | 27% | +0.22 |
| 30/07/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |