San Teodorico
7yo Gelding · 9-5
Marseille-borely · Prix Lucien Frauciel Handicap · 1m 4f 203y
#2
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
16%
Place Prob
24%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.4 /10 (raw 6.9)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-13 | Compiegne | 3 | 13th | 12th | +1 |
| 2026-06-02 | Saint-Cloud | 3 | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-05-06 | Marseille-borely | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-11 | Fontainebleau | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-02-22 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-02-04 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | 3 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +0.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10/2025 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 58% | -0.21 |
| 03/11/2025 | 6th | 6/1 | 68% | 55% | -0.14 |
| 21/01/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 82% | +0.03 |
| 04/02/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 54% | +0.17 |
| 22/02/2026 | 11th | 11/2 | 71% | 17% | -0.54 |
| 11/04/2026 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 88% | +0.72 |
| 06/05/2026 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 02/06/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 91% | +0.07 |
| 13/06/2026 | 13th | 7/4 | 91% | 20% | -0.71 |