2
Sir Garsing
5yo Gelding · 9-5
Marseille-borely · Prix Lucien Frauciel Handicap · 1m 4f 203y
#3
Rank
Odds
9/1
Win Prob
14%
Place Prob
23%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength37%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.1 /10 (raw 6.2)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.7
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-11 | Deauville | 3 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-07-02 | ParisLongchamp | 3 | 9th | 8th | +1 |
| 2026-06-20 | Marseille | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-22 | Marseille | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-06 | Marseille-borely | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-16 | Salon-De-Provence | 4 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 733% of fieldRange 2-7 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength35%
Delivery trend -3.0% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 5th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/02/2026 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 09/03/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 22/03/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 16/04/2026 | 10th | 5/2 | 87% | 0% | -0.87 |
| 06/05/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 70% | +0.12 |
| 22/05/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 20/06/2026 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 92% | +0.05 |
| 02/07/2026 | 9th | 8/1 | 58% | 47% | -0.11 |
| 11/08/2026 | 7th | 11/2 | 71% | 54% | -0.17 |