7
Soupir
8yo Gelding · 8-7
Marseille-borely · Prix Lucien Frauciel Handicap · 1m 4f 203y
#4
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength19%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 4.9)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.8
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 | Vichy | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-23 | Vichy | 3 | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2026-06-17 | Salon-De-Provence | 4 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-25 | Salon-De-Provence | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-06 | Marseille-borely | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-16 | Salon-De-Provence | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 767% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength75%
Delivery trend -1.2% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 3rd of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/01/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 90% | +0.53 |
| 10/02/2026 | 7th | 4/1 | 79% | 33% | -0.46 |
| 09/03/2026 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 67% | -0.02 |
| 16/04/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 06/05/2026 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 78% | -0.09 |
| 25/05/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 86% | +0.00 |
| 17/06/2026 | 7th | 5/2 | 87% | 40% | -0.47 |
| 23/07/2026 | 1st | 16/1 | 16% | 100% | +0.84 |
| 14/08/2026 | 5th | 11/4 | 86% | 50% | -0.36 |