6

Damask Blade

9yo Gelding · 8-11

Marseille-borely · Prix Henri Cabassu Claiming Stakes · 1m 99y

#9

Rank

Odds

18/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength36%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.9 /10 (raw 4.7)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C3.3
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.7
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Marseille 16/02/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR - · 7f100y Std 13416/0243 @ Marseille-borely 18/03/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR - · 1m4f203y Ver 133 · HIGHER CLASS3 @ Salon-De-Provence 16/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR - · 1m1f207y GS 135 · HIGHER CLASS16/0434 @ Marseille-borely 06/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR - · 1m4f203y Ver 1302 @ Marseille-borely 18/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 14 · OR - · 1m1f207y GS 121 · HIGHER CLASS18/0523 @ Marseille-borely 12/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR - · 1m4f203y GS 129 · HIGHER CLASS4 @ Vichy 21/07/2026 · Pos 11th of 14 · OR - · 1m1f207y Hvy 13221/0743 @ Deauville 20/08/2026 · Pos 9th of 12 · OR - · 1m1f97y Std 119 · HIGHER CLASS4 @ Vichy 03/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR - · 1m3f204y Sft 1283/094projClass-projected finish: 8th of 10
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-03Vichy45th5th0
2026-08-20Deauville39th8th+1
2026-07-21Vichy411th11th0
2026-06-12Marseille-borely36th5th+1
2026-05-18Marseille-borely27th5th+2
2026-05-06Marseille-borely42nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today16/026/0521/073/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1011% of fieldRange 3-9 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength44%

Delivery trend +6.1% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
16/02/20267th11/486%25%-0.61
18/03/20265th9/153%50%-0.03
16/04/20266th14/126%55%+0.28
06/05/20262nd3/184%80%-0.04
18/05/20267th20/10%54%+0.54
12/06/20266th10/147%38%-0.10
21/07/202611th20/10%23%+0.23
20/08/20269th66/10%27%+0.27
03/09/20265th12/137%50%+0.13