5

Izastep

6yo Horse · 9-1

Marseille-borely · Prix Henri Cabassu Claiming Stakes · 1m 99y

#4

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength50%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 5 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 5.7)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C2.8
Today: 4
Class gap: +1.2
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Marseille 06/12/2025 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR - · 1m1f207y Std 1166/12C?C0 @ Marseille 16/12/2025 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR - · 1m1f207y Std 1323 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 12/01/2026 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR - · 7f209y Std 129 · HIGHER CLASS12/0133 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 26/01/2026 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR - · 7f100y Ver 125 · HIGHER CLASS2 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 09/02/2026 · Pos 6th of 14 · OR - · 7f100y Std 117 · HIGHER CLASS9/0223 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 21/02/2026 · Pos 1st of 14 · OR - · 7f209y Std 130 · HIGHER CLASS2 @ Saint-Cloud 05/03/2026 · Pos 10th of 16 · OR - · 6f211y Sft 122 · HIGHER CLASS5/0324 @ Vichy 23/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR - · 1m1f207y GS 1233 @ Lyon-Parilly 08/09/2026 · Pos 11th of 12 · OR - · 7f209y Sft 133 · HIGHER CLASS8/093projClass-projected finish: 9th of 10
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-08Lyon-Parilly311th10th+1
2026-07-23Vichy48th8th0
2026-03-05Saint-Cloud210th8th+2
2026-02-21Cagnes-sur-Mer31st0th+1
2026-02-09Cagnes-sur-Mer26th4th+2
2026-01-26Cagnes-sur-Mer31st0th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today6/1226/015/038/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1078% of fieldRange 4-8 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength45%

Delivery trend -2.9% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 10. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
06/12/20257th20/10%45%+0.45
16/12/20253rd7/163%80%+0.17
12/01/20261st9/276%100%+0.24
26/01/20261st9/276%100%+0.24
09/02/20266th9/153%62%+0.09
21/02/20261st9/153%100%+0.47
05/03/202610th18/15%40%+0.35
23/07/20268th40/10%0%0.00
08/09/202611th18/15%9%+0.04